0x0a6e24791fc6745f9867b6b7f94239e3552933f4
0x0a6e24791fc6745f9867b6b7f94239e3552933f4
- Realised P&L
- $23.75
- Volume
- $44.2k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $28.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.954 | 0.989 | $14.44 | +$0.50 |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.001 | $13.95 | −$209.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.00at 0.900Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?
- +$0.79at 0.987Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.22at 0.999Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
- +$0.22at 0.999Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
- +$0.21at 0.991Will Solana dip to $50 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-20 06:06 | Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $67.35 |
| 02-20 06:05 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.987 | $67.11 |
| 02-10 12:04 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9539999995 | $13.94 |
| 02-03 07:24 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9869999984 | $223.72 |
| 01-05 06:45 | Will Solana dip to $50 in January? | BUY | 0.9909999997 | $23.00 |
| 01-05 06:45 | Will Solana dip to $40 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $100.00 |
| 01-05 06:45 | Will Solana dip to $30 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 12-09 01:22 | Will Solana reach $580 before 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $222.99 |
| 11-26 02:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November? | BUY | 0.999 | $219.78 |
| 10-28 08:14 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October? | BUY | 0.9 | $198.00 |