0x0a6cA7B41139D90F84838B02Ed98D0d294758fe6-1764726317396
0x0a6ca7b41139d90f84838b02ed98d0d294758fe6
- Realised P&L
- $-749.80
- Volume
- $34.1k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $159.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$204.49at 0.923Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$180.00at 0.100Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
- +$144.45at 0.688Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$96.03at 0.347Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca
- +$96.00at 0.360UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 00:06 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 22:58 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe | BUY | 0.3 | $21.00 |
| 10-08 22:52 | Game Spread: Flavio Cobolli (-3.5) vs Adrian Mannarino (+3.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $50.40 |
| 10-08 21:30 | UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Malcolm Wellmaker (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.35 | $49.00 |
| 10-04 20:38 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.5 | $96.00 |
| 10-04 20:37 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.53 | $56.60 |
| 08-25 00:53 | Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.968 | $260.19 |
| 07-02 14:20 | Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5799999988 | $50.00 |
| 06-18 19:18 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.64 | $125.56 |
| 06-15 02:01 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.061 | $24.40 |
| 06-15 01:54 | UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 06-14 21:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.357128 | $35.71 |
| 06-07 02:15 | UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 06-02 12:06 | Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca | BUY | 0.34 | $49.98 |
| 05-31 16:11 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8369503706 | $170.50 |