Doggerlander
0x0a61e40ebf154825b164382cd932ece781cf2c6b
- Realised P&L
- $-7.6k
- Volume
- $1.97M
- Markets traded
- 235
- Open portfolio
- $749.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded235
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.212 | 0.065 | $749.18 | −$1.7k |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.123 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.25 |
| Will MrBeast be the next CEO of X? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.08 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$203.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.739Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?
- +$3.6kat 0.920Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?
- +$3.4kat 0.981Will Russia recapture Sudzha by April 30?
- +$3.0kat 0.798Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$1.8kat 0.892Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-26 21:55 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $187.87 |
| 04-13 13:19 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $184.45 |
| 04-07 02:46 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $26.10 |
| 04-07 01:43 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $159.42 |
| 04-06 18:42 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $7.93 |
| 04-06 15:44 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $288.90 |
| 04-06 00:02 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 04-05 23:51 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 04-05 23:50 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $232.18 |
| 04-05 23:50 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $19.38 |
| 03-29 05:10 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $9.00 |
| 03-29 05:05 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $12.35 |
| 03-28 18:41 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 03-28 17:51 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $101.60 |
| 03-28 17:30 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $37.65 |