rf23
0x0a5e543e8a233d215df91fa09358e71298fe6b48
- Realised P&L
- $39.13
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $221.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.973 | 0.982 | $221.03 | +$2.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.10at 0.885 Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?
- +$9.83at 0.949MetaMask airdrop in 2024?
- +$0.67at 0.997Base airdrop in Q2 2025?
- +$0.66at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$0.44at 0.998Base airdrop in Q1 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 13:45 | Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.973 | $219.00 |
| 12-19 13:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $219.58 |
| 09-25 02:10 | Astaria airdrop in Q3 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $219.36 |
| 05-25 07:33 | Base airdrop in Q2 2025? | BUY | 0.9969468453 | $218.69 |
| 03-04 03:59 | Base airdrop in Q1 2025? | BUY | 0.9979771358 | $218.25 |
| 01-07 05:22 | Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025? | BUY | 0.8849999997 | $193.15 |
| 10-29 03:03 | MetaMask airdrop in 2024? | BUY | 0.9490984289 | $183.32 |
| 09-29 03:32 | Base airdrop by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $183.14 |