0x0A5cBA4181A9466f7357f3f7e849A09dFfE2b2f6-1781535899229
0x0a5cba4181a9466f7357f3f7e849a09dffe2b2f6
- Realised P&L
- $-3.5k
- Volume
- $22.0k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $146.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.477 | $62.28 | +$2.28 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.871 | 0.861 | $46.44 | −$0.57 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.691 | 0.700 | $30.39 | +$0.39 |
| Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany? · Yes | 0.728 | 0.275 | $7.56 | −$12.44 |
| Will France win on 2026-10-05? · No | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.15at 0.930US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?
- +$1.06at 0.824Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?
- +$0.37at 0.730UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$-1.49at 0.582Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-3.4kat 0.349Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 20:10 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8709999905 | $47.00 |
| 10-12 20:08 | Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany? | BUY | 0.7279547357 | $20.00 |
| 10-12 20:06 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4599999986 | $60.00 |
| 10-12 20:00 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | SELL | 0.95 | $102.14 |
| 10-11 17:33 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.6909999855 | $30.00 |
| 10-11 17:28 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-11 16:27 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.879 | $105.14 |
| 10-05 20:08 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $100.00 |
| 10-05 17:17 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8359999992 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 20:41 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.09 |
| 07-14 20:41 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.025 | $263.99 |
| 07-12 16:23 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5699999225 | $2.50 |
| 07-12 04:24 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.999 | $1.38 |
| 07-11 16:28 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 03:10 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3729999995 | $255.83 |