scooterkid
0x0a57ce440dede007e898cc3fa9dfdc7ffa92dc32
- Realised P&L
- $-503.41
- Volume
- $16.9k
- Markets traded
- 230
- Open portfolio
- $108.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded230
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.26at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 30?
- +$14.76at 0.902Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
- +$13.43at 0.920Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
- +$13.41at 0.275Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 30?
- +$12.85at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 08:43 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 07-01 08:43 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 06-30 19:24 | Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.77 |
| 06-30 19:24 | Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.129313955 | $3.77 |
| 06-29 23:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 1? | BUY | 0.14 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 34°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.16 |
| 06-29 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.24 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.28 |
| 06-29 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.1163946231 | $4.85 |
| 06-29 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.39 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.43 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.80 |
| 06-29 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.0296543862 | $4.94 |