0x0a50e774361424b0de7f88e491559f8ba3acaf41
- Realised P&L
- $112.87
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.72at 0.834Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
- +$-1.91at 0.016Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?
- +$-2.34at 0.049Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 9-15?
- +$-2.63at 0.022Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 9-15?
- +$-3.94at 0.033Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-03 12:22 | Canada recession before 2027? | BUY | 0.4375 | $3.50 |
| 03-02 17:55 | Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.36 |
| 03-02 17:49 | Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.86 |
| 03-02 17:34 | Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.97 |
| 03-02 17:28 | Canada recession before 2027? | BUY | 0.6 | $4.80 |
| 03-02 17:28 | Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy? | BUY | 0.51 | $4.08 |
| 03-02 17:28 | Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy? | BUY | 0.51 | $4.08 |
| 03-02 17:28 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA? | BUY | 0.42 | $3.36 |
| 03-02 17:28 | Canada recession before 2027? | BUY | 0.43 | $3.44 |
| 03-02 17:28 | Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.36 |
| 03-02 17:28 | Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.84 | $6.72 |
| 03-02 17:28 | Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19? | BUY | 0.89 | $7.12 |
| 03-02 17:28 | Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.36 |
| 03-02 17:28 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA? | BUY | 0.646 | $5.17 |
| 03-01 14:19 | Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $5.92 |