PolyBot

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Traders

bropacman

0x0a504137bab53a5e9a352011b48f6ace09754d3c

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$23.3k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$455.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 51m? · No0.8051.000$248.49+$48.49
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1660.180$86.65+$6.65
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.3400.285$67.06−$12.94
Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0880.046$52.88−$47.12
Will 'Metaphor: ReFantazio' win Game of the Year? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$38.82
Will 'Final Fantasy 7 Rebirth' win Game of the Year? · Yes0.1720.000$0.00−$77.50
Trump wins every swing state? · No0.7140.000$0.00−$172.82
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$45.00
Winning candidate also wins popular vote? · No0.3000.000$0.00−$90.00
Will 'Elden Ring: Shadow of the Erdtree' win Game of the Year? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$23.70
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 10? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 11? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 6 hours? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$37.11
Will 'Balatro' win Game of the Year? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$46.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 22:03Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 51m?BUY0.8048538571$200.00
08-29 20:19Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.3399999981$80.00
08-29 19:46Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.1661890753$80.00
08-29 19:46Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.0879427687$100.00
08-21 05:43Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours?SELL0.05$0.84
08-21 05:35Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours?SELL0.31$25.80
08-21 04:37Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours?SELL0.99$299.62
08-21 04:29Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours?BUY0.002$3.89
08-21 04:07Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours?BUY0.0607220109$20.00
08-20 22:44Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 6 hours?BUY0.0288499783$15.00
08-20 22:26Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours?BUY0.6608216343$200.00
08-12 21:23Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?SELL0.8534581839$380.85
08-12 21:22Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?SELL0.8410172729$1.9k
08-12 16:42Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?SELL0.3137543891$105.62
08-12 12:46Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?BUY0.0261419066$25.00