bropacman
0x0a504137bab53a5e9a352011b48f6ace09754d3c
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $23.3k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $455.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.025Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?
- +$422.52at 0.073Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?
- +$144.00at 0.280Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours?
- +$96.09at 0.672Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours?
- +$75.00at 0.833Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 22:03 | Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 51m? | BUY | 0.8048538571 | $200.00 |
| 08-29 20:19 | Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999981 | $80.00 |
| 08-29 19:46 | Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1661890753 | $80.00 |
| 08-29 19:46 | Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0879427687 | $100.00 |
| 08-21 05:43 | Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.84 |
| 08-21 05:35 | Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours? | SELL | 0.31 | $25.80 |
| 08-21 04:37 | Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours? | SELL | 0.99 | $299.62 |
| 08-21 04:29 | Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours? | BUY | 0.002 | $3.89 |
| 08-21 04:07 | Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours? | BUY | 0.0607220109 | $20.00 |
| 08-20 22:44 | Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 6 hours? | BUY | 0.0288499783 | $15.00 |
| 08-20 22:26 | Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours? | BUY | 0.6608216343 | $200.00 |
| 08-12 21:23 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? | SELL | 0.8534581839 | $380.85 |
| 08-12 21:22 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? | SELL | 0.8410172729 | $1.9k |
| 08-12 16:42 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? | SELL | 0.3137543891 | $105.62 |
| 08-12 12:46 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? | BUY | 0.0261419066 | $25.00 |