PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xfm-6-2

0x0a4847951584786d3251894ee7ee36c42b816b73

Realised P&L
$297.95
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$107.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration46.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? · Yes0.5000.535$107.00+$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-23 02:37Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?BUY0.5$100.00
05-22 02:55Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?BUY0.48$134.40
05-22 02:47Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.5$145.00
04-12 04:40Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.55$159.50
04-12 04:37Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?SELL0.91$254.80
03-18 11:23Databricks IPO before 2027?SELL0.72$201.60
03-03 09:11Databricks IPO before 2027?BUY0.69$193.20
02-19 07:12Brex IPO before 2027?SELL0.908$4.87
02-19 07:12Brex IPO before 2027?SELL0.909$35.85
02-15 15:00Discord IPO before 2027?SELL0.9$108.00
02-04 11:49Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 8)BUY0.53$4.24
02-04 11:48Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 8)BUY0.51$87.78
02-04 11:41Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?SELL0.998$65.87
02-01 05:31Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?BUY0.999$65.93