KolonelMOMO
0x0a423186e2fcc28a50303435a9798b027101c524
- Realised P&L
- $-347.42
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $12.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Olivier Faure finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.685 | $12.02 | +$2.02 |
| French election called by October 17? · Yes | 0.206 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$210.00 |
| French election called by October 31? · Yes | 0.454 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$183.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$143.55at 0.450Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
- +$46.85at 0.824Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?
- +$3.16at 0.687Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
- +$1.40at 0.500Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 31?
- +$-0.26at 0.050Macron out by October 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 09:35 | Will Olivier Faure finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 18:15 | French election called by October 31? | BUY | 0.2362346737 | $18.00 |
| 10-12 21:26 | French election called by October 17? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 10-12 20:48 | French election called by October 17? | BUY | 0.1899999959 | $30.00 |
| 10-12 09:44 | French election called by October 31? | BUY | 0.5399999935 | $25.00 |
| 10-11 20:35 | French election called by October 31? | BUY | 0.5311656512 | $50.00 |
| 10-11 20:30 | French election called by October 31? | BUY | 0.52 | $40.00 |
| 10-11 20:29 | French election called by October 17? | BUY | 0.2599999966 | $40.00 |
| 10-11 18:19 | French election called by October 31? | BUY | 0.5299999972 | $30.00 |
| 10-11 08:33 | French election called by October 31? | BUY | 0.3799999951 | $20.00 |
| 10-11 08:32 | French election called by October 17? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 10-11 08:32 | French election called by October 17? | BUY | 0.1907214037 | $20.00 |
| 10-10 21:48 | Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10? | SELL | 0.991 | $277.17 |
| 10-10 10:42 | Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10? | BUY | 0.8168198354 | $30.00 |
| 10-10 07:33 | Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France? | SELL | 0.7705486258 | $29.16 |