PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

loeb9wrc

0x0a3aa0d9e27e287f6b7d044fdf47a8c03fc5f612

Realised P&L
$-56.50
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
284
Open portfolio
$48.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded284
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.5590.955$15.36+$6.36
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.1670.061$11.07−$18.93
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1840.195$10.61+$0.61
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.5400.615$1.14+$0.14
Villarreal CF vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5800.600$1.03+$0.03
Villarreal CF vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5 · Over0.3600.370$1.03+$0.03
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14? · Yes0.5700.575$1.01+$0.01
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · No0.8600.865$1.01+$0.01
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · No0.8800.875$0.99−$0.01
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.255$0.98−$0.02
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.225$0.98−$0.02
Villarreal CF vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.6400.620$0.97−$0.03
Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14? · Yes0.2700.255$0.94−$0.06
Will RB Leipzig vs. PSV end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.225$0.94−$0.06
Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.230$0.92−$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 07:34Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-07 07:34Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?BUY0.25$1.00
10-07 07:34Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.5699999886$1.00
10-06 12:19AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?BUY0.2$5.00
10-01 13:18AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1699999983$5.00
10-01 13:16Villarreal CF vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.64$1.00
10-01 13:16Villarreal CF vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5BUY0.5799999768$1.00
10-01 13:16Villarreal CF vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5BUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-01 13:15Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-01 13:15Will RB Leipzig vs. PSV end in a draw?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-01 13:14Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
09-09 15:25Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
09-09 15:22Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
09-09 15:22Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.859999914$1.00
09-03 11:46FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5BUY0.7$1.00