plonker2026
0x0a39b3b29ab3b7dd753aa96fde4ecab3f2dbb0b9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.20M
- Volume
- $20.07M
- Markets traded
- 271
- Open portfolio
- $186.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded271
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-10-15? · Yes | 0.320 | 1.000 | $186.52 | +$126.80 |
| Will PSV win on 2026-09-05? · No | 0.636 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.3k |
| Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5) · Leeds United FC | 0.664 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$137.1k |
| Spread: FC Twente (-1.5) · FC Twente | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.5k |
| Will Galway United FC win on 2026-07-25? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-27? · No | 0.225 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.3k |
| Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5) · Coventry City FC | 0.305 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.1k |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-26? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.2k |
| Will SK Rapid win on 2026-09-12? · No | 0.387 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.9k |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-05? · Yes | 0.393 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$62.1k |
| Coventry City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.592 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.6k |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.4k |
| FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Mjällby AIF: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$283.58 |
| Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-09-07? · Yes | 0.533 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.8k |
| Will FC Groningen win on 2026-08-28? · Yes | 0.641 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$535.9kat 0.462Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-08-23?
- +$225.3kat 0.321Will Como 1907 win on 2026-08-30?
- +$197.8kat 0.431Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?
- +$144.1kat 0.456Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?
- +$134.0kat 0.464Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 16:45 | Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.4687958641 | $65.29 |
| 10-15 16:40 | HNK Hajduk Split vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.41 | $6.7k |
| 10-15 16:39 | Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.46 | $6.7k |
| 10-15 16:34 | HNK Hajduk Split vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $5.8k |
| 10-15 16:33 | HNK Hajduk Split vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.39 | $403.15 |
| 10-15 16:33 | HNK Hajduk Split vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.63 | $8.8k |
| 10-15 16:30 | HNK Hajduk Split vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.62 | $565.44 |
| 10-15 16:27 | HNK Hajduk Split vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.62 | $8.1k |
| 10-15 16:26 | HNK Hajduk Split vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.61 | $2.3k |
| 10-15 16:24 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.25 | $8.1k |
| 10-15 16:05 | SC União Torreense vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $6.2k |
| 10-15 16:02 | SC União Torreense vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.43 | $5.5k |
| 10-15 15:59 | Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.45 | $5.2k |
| 10-15 15:55 | Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.5k |
| 10-15 15:53 | Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.44 | $5.8k |