xiaoxiao213
0x0a363bcb8491cbd9e480dd687763aa213ecaf91d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $24.3k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $33.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.008 | $33.69 | −$29.48 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 7? · No | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| XRP Up or Down on January 24? · Up | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.75at 0.904Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$16.48at 0.630Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
- +$14.04at 0.955Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
- +$7.51at 0.796Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$5.69at 0.776Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 03:42 | Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.939 | $556.83 |
| 07-10 07:58 | Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.904 | $536.07 |
| 06-26 02:00 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.979 | $572.72 |
| 06-22 02:35 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.955 | $558.67 |
| 06-05 03:00 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $292.16 |
| 05-29 02:12 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $299.20 |
| 05-27 11:15 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.677 | $339.18 |
| 05-22 02:28 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.677 | $339.18 |
| 05-04 01:36 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.789 | $341.64 |
| 03-26 08:01 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL | 0.67 | $276.04 |
| 03-23 07:03 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.63 | $259.56 |
| 03-18 06:06 | Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.789 | $344.00 |
| 03-14 08:43 | Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.7759403899 | $338.31 |
| 03-13 09:19 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.884 | $88.40 |
| 03-13 06:23 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.885 | $117.70 |