0xE16aA0e6dEa5D29B16b0ad2e73035b9cdF3454Ae-1767598200528
0x0a2f1a0aff06a7adb59e946e324f8e01dcfb325a
- Realised P&L
- $-12.75
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $4.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Group C · ex-RUSTEC | 0.680 | 0.655 | $3.27 | −$0.13 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Up | 0.248 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.247 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET · Up | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026? · No | 0.362 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.86 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Down | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.49at 0.180Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.20at 0.623Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
- +$0.57at 0.276Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.38at 0.930US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.27at 0.757Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:34 | Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Group C | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 09-11 09:12 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.193 | $0.98 |
| 09-11 09:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.9979998088 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 16:19 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1969998469 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 16:11 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.145 | $1.99 |
| 09-01 09:53 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1459999391 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 09:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.23 |
| 09-01 09:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.56 |
| 09-01 09:38 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.801 | $4.97 |
| 09-01 09:38 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.8049999847 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 09:37 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.802 | $4.98 |
| 09-01 09:37 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.8049999847 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 09:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.156097561 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 09:25 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $4.67 |
| 09-01 09:24 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |