jeffreyepsteinHALFLIFE3ISCOMING
0x0a2ef3ed089d9028cf92e0f7fe1c3ed2ec52a4b2
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $936.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-28.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? · Yes | 0.499 | 0.195 | $936.36 | −$1.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.25at 0.588Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
- +$41.24at 0.531Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
- +$29.18at 0.482Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
- +$4.60at 0.569Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
- +$3.73at 0.415Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 11:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999029 | $1.50 |
| 05-04 11:11 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | BUY | 0.4769854519 | $10.00 |
| 05-04 11:10 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | BUY | 0.310919412 | $100.00 |
| 05-01 05:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 05:02 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.20 |
| 04-19 13:42 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | BUY | 0.569999997 | $45.79 |
| 04-19 13:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999953 | $22.31 |
| 04-19 13:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999894 | $18.82 |
| 04-19 13:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $8.85 |
| 04-19 13:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $52.74 |
| 04-19 12:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $33.19 |
| 04-19 12:55 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | SELL | 0.55 | $35.75 |
| 04-13 18:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999956 | $20.89 |
| 04-13 18:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | SELL | 0.38 | $16.58 |
| 04-13 18:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999921 | $18.39 |