4296
0x0a2dc15812ec143338f1d194e523b3dc34951d12
- Realised P&L
- $-677.34
- Volume
- $218.2k
- Markets traded
- 312
- Open portfolio
- $121.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded312
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$303.88at 0.320Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
- +$238.49at 0.591Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-26?
- +$194.63at 0.306Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
- +$153.26at 0.357Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$138.98at 0.590Rockets vs. Lakers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 13:03 | Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ? | SELL | 0.531834708 | $31.60 |
| 08-21 13:02 | Will Andy Burnham say "Speaker" 10+ times during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.7699999993 | $23.00 |
| 08-21 13:01 | Will Andy Burnham say "Muslim" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.158983655 | $12.00 |
| 08-21 13:00 | Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.5049504927 | $30.00 |
| 08-21 13:00 | Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" 3+ times during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.6307928974 | $51.00 |
| 08-21 13:00 | Will Andy Burnham say "Speaker" 10+ times during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.7534291958 | $88.00 |
| 07-18 22:38 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.59 | $147.50 |
| 07-18 22:38 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.409 | $181.78 |
| 07-13 12:47 | Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.2649999959 | $37.79 |
| 07-13 12:44 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31? | BUY | 0.9781120475 | $300.00 |
| 07-13 12:43 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by July 31? | BUY | 0.9491864116 | $35.00 |
| 07-13 12:38 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5975 | $100.00 |
| 07-13 12:30 | Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7745896262 | $20.31 |
| 06-29 10:38 | Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? | BUY | 0.1399999922 | $15.00 |
| 06-29 10:37 | Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? | BUY | 0.2999999957 | $35.00 |