PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

4296

0x0a2dc15812ec143338f1d194e523b3dc34951d12

Realised P&L
$-677.34
Volume
$218.2k
Markets traded
312
Open portfolio
$121.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded312
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Cambria FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No0.9200.949$58.82+$1.82
Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.4580.670$36.60+$11.60
Databricks IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2070.037$10.30$46.70
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.3700.220$6.54$4.46
Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes0.8370.630$4.52$1.48
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4350.190$4.36$5.64
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0940.005$0.07$1.15
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · No0.2000.000$0.00$7.71
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$10.00
alon called coin FDV above $1M one day after the call? · Yes0.5810.000$0.00$61.05
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26? · No0.2400.000$0.00$65.00
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? · Yes0.4570.000$0.00$59.81
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22? · No0.3700.000$0.00$100.00
Thunder vs. Spurs · Thunder0.6700.000$0.00$100.00
Infinex FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.2540.000$0.00$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-21 13:03Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?SELL0.531834708$31.60
08-21 13:02Will Andy Burnham say "Speaker" 10+ times during the next PMQ?BUY0.7699999993$23.00
08-21 13:01Will Andy Burnham say "Muslim" during the next PMQ?BUY0.158983655$12.00
08-21 13:00Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?BUY0.5049504927$30.00
08-21 13:00Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" 3+ times during the next PMQ?BUY0.6307928974$51.00
08-21 13:00Will Andy Burnham say "Speaker" 10+ times during the next PMQ?BUY0.7534291958$88.00
07-18 22:38Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.59$147.50
07-18 22:38Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.409$181.78
07-13 12:47Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?BUY0.2649999959$37.79
07-13 12:44Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?BUY0.9781120475$300.00
07-13 12:43Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by July 31?BUY0.9491864116$35.00
07-13 12:38France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5975$100.00
07-13 12:30Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?SELL0.7745896262$20.31
06-29 10:38Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?BUY0.1399999922$15.00
06-29 10:37Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?BUY0.2999999957$35.00