0x0A222cF1fA434840f0916a8E75994F7D32af715D-1761653520377
0x0a222cf1fa434840f0916a8e75994f7d32af715d
- Realised P&L
- $548.50
- Volume
- $11.8k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $27.49
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.690 | $14.49 | −$4.20 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No | 0.930 | 1.000 | $13.00 | +$0.91 |
| Hornets vs. Nets · Nets | 0.092 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.90 |
| Nets vs. Pistons · Pistons | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$97.88 |
| Warriors vs. Wizards · Wizards | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.36 |
| Suns vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.00 |
| Celtics vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.90 |
| Knicks vs. Jazz · Jazz | 0.129 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.77 |
| Thunder vs. Nets · Nets | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.40 |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$170.24 |
| Pacers vs. Magic · Magic | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$132.00 |
| Cavaliers vs. Mavericks · Mavericks | 0.159 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.46 |
| Heat vs. Pacers · Heat | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$480.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$341.44at 0.567Timberwolves vs. 76ers
- +$312.00at 0.220Timberwolves vs. Celtics
- +$248.32at 0.367Pacers vs. Bulls
- +$174.60at 0.407Pistons vs. Magic
- +$145.60at 0.627Spurs vs. Clippers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 09:25 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.93 | $12.09 |
| 08-25 09:51 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $11.67 |
| 08-25 09:51 | Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? | SELL | 0.826 | $16.51 |
| 07-29 07:15 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $10.81 |
| 07-29 07:00 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027? | SELL | 0.888 | $18.65 |
| 06-24 09:42 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | SELL | 0.803 | $16.06 |
| 06-24 09:42 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3562039 | $35.62 |
| 05-28 05:30 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.695 | $30.58 |
| 05-23 09:03 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $23.59 |
| 05-14 10:45 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $125.10 |
| 05-14 10:27 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $126.49 |
| 04-18 09:34 | Rockets vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.34 | $55.51 |
| 04-06 10:50 | Pistons vs. Magic | BUY | 0.4 | $115.68 |
| 04-03 08:22 | Timberwolves vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.56 | $436.17 |
| 04-02 09:11 | Spurs vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.62 | $239.32 |