PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0a219f1326Fd4424D1c2151b4697e5Ca56487DAE-1761593900742

0x0a219f1326fd4424d1c2151b4697e5ca56487dae

Realised P&L
$64.93
Volume
$18.4k
Markets traded
1,258
Open portfolio
$6.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,258
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes0.4200.455$2.17+$0.17
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0360.037$2.08+$0.08
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? · No0.2000.205$1.02+$0.03
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0320.024$0.73−$0.27
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0860.009$0.44−$3.56
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22? · Yes0.2330.000$0.00−$14.00
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$1.00
Rockets vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies0.2670.000$0.00−$3.00
Knicks vs. Mavericks · Mavericks0.3200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-09? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" during Ukraine President events on December 28? · Yes0.1010.000$0.00−$1.00
Nuggets vs. Pacers · Pacers0.2600.000$0.00−$1.00
Raptors vs. Bucks · Bucks0.3690.000$0.00−$6.00
Coppin State Eagles vs. Howard Bison · Coppin State Eagles0.0430.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 17:51Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-06 23:41Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.0239999998$1.00
10-06 19:08Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.5$1.00
10-05 14:03Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-05 14:03Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.2$1.00
10-05 14:02Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.419999979$2.00
09-20 16:41Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.4299999498$3.00
09-19 14:35Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.2799999925$3.00
09-14 17:38Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.32$2.00
09-13 17:14Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-13 16:55Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?BUY0.32$1.00
09-13 16:49Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-13 15:52Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.32$2.00
09-13 15:31Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
09-12 20:16Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.1899999962$1.00