0x0A1cc6071C968086e5706A1A5cC6c9746bD6EfAf-1769695284589
0x0a1cc6071c968086e5706a1a5cc6c9746bd6efaf
- Realised P&L
- $-9.3k
- Volume
- $2.81M
- Markets traded
- 177
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded177
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$142.85at 0.744Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?
- +$98.34at 0.955Netanyahu out by March 31?
- +$58.04at 0.870Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
- +$37.30at 0.773Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?
- +$34.29at 0.910Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 00:41 | Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.03 |
| 06-19 00:40 | Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.20 |
| 06-19 00:40 | Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.47 |
| 06-19 00:39 | Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.11 |
| 06-19 00:39 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.36 |
| 06-17 19:55 | Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.98 |
| 06-17 19:55 | Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.125 | $4.87 |
| 06-17 19:54 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $42.00 |
| 06-17 19:53 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $210.00 |
| 06-15 16:04 | Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.75 |
| 06-15 16:03 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $18.27 |
| 06-14 10:56 | Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.12 |
| 06-14 10:32 | Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.03 |
| 06-11 22:05 | Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.043 | $3.15 |
| 06-10 23:43 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $17.62 |