0x0a110695e360e4a3b6a8d250f01ff7c23070cee6
0x0a110695e360e4a3b6a8d250f01ff7c23070cee6
- Realised P&L
- $149.80
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $0.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sudan win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.001 | $0.37 | −$146.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.24at 0.532Will Guatemala win on 2026-09-28?
- +$42.54at 0.480Will EC Juventude win on 2026-09-28?
- +$19.51at 0.553Will France win on 2026-09-28?
- +$16.72at 0.396Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?
- +$4.70at 0.532Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 04:52 | Will Sudan win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.2 | $147.00 |
| 09-29 04:36 | Will Guatemala win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.999 | $159.84 |
| 09-29 01:08 | Will Guatemala win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.5 | $80.00 |
| 09-29 01:03 | Will EC Juventude win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.999 | $88.79 |
| 09-28 22:57 | Will EC Juventude win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4499999994 | $40.00 |
| 09-28 21:04 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.999 | $48.02 |
| 09-27 20:47 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.5199999908 | $25.00 |
| 09-27 20:39 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.69 |
| 09-27 05:45 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.3699999966 | $11.00 |
| 09-27 05:44 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.69 | $12.48 |
| 09-27 05:41 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6999999945 | $12.66 |
| 09-26 20:46 | Ole Miss vs. Florida | BUY | 0.7699999858 | $10.28 |
| 09-26 20:43 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | SELL | 0.99 | $11.15 |
| 09-26 13:15 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.63 |
| 09-19 11:05 | Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.1799999987 | $2.77 |