saaipofta
0x0a0ed0add8ffd3a6c7c970c4ac2f2005d7fe5404
- Realised P&L
- $-279.05
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $108.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes | 0.124 | 0.033 | $108.77 | −$306.17 |
| New Pope in 2025? · No | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$146.18at 0.650Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$-104.87at 0.126Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-24 14:17 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1335880383 | $141.61 |
| 04-15 13:11 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1209999984 | $59.97 |
| 04-09 14:15 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.122999999 | $99.72 |
| 04-08 22:14 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1159223503 | $113.64 |
| 01-20 10:25 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $12.02 |
| 12-26 22:08 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999986 | $77.00 |
| 12-26 15:18 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999975 | $40.00 |
| 05-18 20:46 | Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | SELL | 0.987 | $428.12 |
| 05-18 13:35 | Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6499999995 | $281.95 |
| 04-22 18:36 | New Pope in 2025? | BUY | 0.016 | $14.09 |