jenkinsisaac
0x0a0eafbc7a7a92191b24a929d938f1555b46eea3
- Realised P&L
- $-5.14
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $43.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 28? · Yes | 0.571 | 0.485 | $41.11 | −$7.29 |
| Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September? · No | 0.580 | 0.042 | $2.49 | −$32.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.47at 0.673Liverpool wins the Premier League?
- +$11.00at 0.776Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$6.21at 0.788Will Team Spirit Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
- +$5.02at 0.999Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?
- +$4.25at 0.750Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 08:52 | Will Team Spirit Win the CS2 EWC 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999932 | $22.91 |
| 01-31 13:47 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.80 |
| 01-30 16:09 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9979999396 | $12.29 |
| 01-30 15:50 | Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.04 |
| 01-30 14:18 | Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.01 |
| 01-30 14:08 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.59 |
| 12-30 11:28 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999288 | $7.60 |
| 12-30 10:39 | Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.91 |
| 12-30 01:04 | Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.56 |
| 12-29 19:54 | Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.06 |
| 10-30 23:04 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $17.51 |
| 10-30 18:05 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $20.58 |
| 09-29 17:24 | Lisa Cook arrested by September 30? | BUY | 0.9979999922 | $15.44 |
| 09-29 09:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September? | BUY | 0.997 | $18.30 |
| 09-28 22:56 | Will Solana dip to $150 in September? | BUY | 0.9979999583 | $15.31 |