PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

63483

0x0a08b794ba7a2ecf0b99d9368de98fdd912f2e25

Realised P&L
$13.4k
Volume
$1.28M
Markets traded
836
Open portfolio
$38.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded836
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 00:14Will Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?SELL0.12$10.92
10-05 23:55Will Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?BUY0.1794442199$35.52
10-05 23:34Will Trump say "Fake News" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?BUY0.05$4.26
10-03 22:23Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?BUY0.27$81.00
10-03 00:16Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?SELL0.2174153804$31.41
10-02 00:25Will Trump say "Smelter" during his rally in Oklahoma?BUY0.58$10.35
10-01 00:11Will Trump say "Pearl Harbor" this week?BUY0.17$17.00
09-28 11:06Trump renames AI by September 30?SELL0.44$88.00
09-28 02:28Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.23$8.05
09-19 05:27Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.68$13.60
09-16 22:57Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.7$10.50
09-02 22:38Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?SELL0.38$11.02
09-02 00:17Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?BUY0.4$11.60
08-14 20:31Will Trump say "Think About It" during remarks in New York?SELL0.51$12.44
08-14 18:03Will Trump say "Think About It" during remarks in New York?BUY0.29$7.08