63483
0x0a08b794ba7a2ecf0b99d9368de98fdd912f2e25
- Realised P&L
- $13.4k
- Volume
- $1.28M
- Markets traded
- 836
- Open portfolio
- $38.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded836
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.050Will Vietnam win Intervision 2025?
- +$780.71at 0.003Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
- +$720.80at 0.110Will "Conclave" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards?
- +$612.44at 0.173Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
- +$455.05at 0.261Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 00:14 | Will Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska? | SELL | 0.12 | $10.92 |
| 10-05 23:55 | Will Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska? | BUY | 0.1794442199 | $35.52 |
| 10-05 23:34 | Will Trump say "Fake News" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska? | BUY | 0.05 | $4.26 |
| 10-03 22:23 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.27 | $81.00 |
| 10-03 00:16 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama? | SELL | 0.2174153804 | $31.41 |
| 10-02 00:25 | Will Trump say "Smelter" during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.58 | $10.35 |
| 10-01 00:11 | Will Trump say "Pearl Harbor" this week? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 09-28 11:06 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.44 | $88.00 |
| 09-28 02:28 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.23 | $8.05 |
| 09-19 05:27 | Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 09-16 22:57 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.7 | $10.50 |
| 09-02 22:38 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $11.02 |
| 09-02 00:17 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $11.60 |
| 08-14 20:31 | Will Trump say "Think About It" during remarks in New York? | SELL | 0.51 | $12.44 |
| 08-14 18:03 | Will Trump say "Think About It" during remarks in New York? | BUY | 0.29 | $7.08 |