WorldOrganization
0x0a06f72004e65844a4a4d549ffc3df1b633741c9
- Realised P&L
- $6.68
- Volume
- $319.7k
- Markets traded
- 143
- Open portfolio
- $411.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded143
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.076 | $338.94 | −$135.34 |
| Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.145 | $72.50 | +$7.50 |
| Seahawks vs. 49ers · 49ers | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$86.00 |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22? · No | 0.335 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.03 |
| Colts vs. Steelers · Colts | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$62.00 |
| Colts vs. Seahawks · Colts | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.60 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$305.00 |
| 49ers vs. Colts · Colts | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.60 |
| Colts vs. Chiefs · Colts | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Ravens vs. Dolphins · Dolphins | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.20 |
| Spread: Colts (-3.5) · Colts | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.00 |
| Colts vs. Chiefs · Colts | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Eagles vs. Packers · Packers | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.10 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$405.00 |
| Alabama vs. Oklahoma · Oklahoma | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$689.42at 0.211Trump wins every swing state?
- +$586.83at 0.026Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$398.51at 0.541US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
- +$228.50at 0.233Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more?
- +$197.00at 0.606US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 00:43 | Chiefs vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 10-24 19:27 | Indiana vs. Michigan | BUY | 0.829999998 | $50.00 |
| 10-11 19:46 | Colts vs. Steelers | SELL | 0.08 | $4.80 |
| 09-13 02:41 | Ohio State vs. Texas | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 00:21 | Ohio State vs. Texas | BUY | 0.33 | $19.80 |
| 09-03 02:03 | Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.012 | $134.62 |
| 08-15 03:43 | Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.107192918 | $153.36 |
| 02-03 17:38 | Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.52 |
| 02-03 17:32 | Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more? | BUY | 0.089 | $0.49 |
| 01-10 02:26 | Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship? | BUY | 0.716 | $341.00 |
| 01-01 23:43 | Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship? | BUY | 0.3756080627 | $67.08 |
| 12-29 19:01 | US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $521.99 |
| 12-29 19:00 | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | SELL | 0.836 | $180.16 |
| 12-28 20:16 | Jaguars vs. Colts | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 12-28 01:38 | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | SELL | 0.963 | $96.30 |