0x0E21bb64Af4E7Fdc174B21bbCc1cF4c679F79688-1777076111093
0x0a04aeb50136d6e87ed1d183d9f860a7db1a7f57
- Realised P&L
- $-0.50
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $4.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 23? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.007 | $2.51 | −$6.22 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 22? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.024 | $1.29 | −$1.21 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 23? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $0.27 | −$1.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 22? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.007 | $0.18 | −$1.32 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 22? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$0.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.50at 0.004Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 19:37 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 23? | BUY | 0.0317542962 | $1.73 |
| 10-21 19:36 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.50 |
| 10-21 19:35 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 23? | BUY | 0.0230332037 | $7.00 |
| 10-21 15:15 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 23? | BUY | 0.002826935 | $1.50 |
| 10-21 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.0598006629 | $1.50 |
| 10-21 15:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.0076514021 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 15:08 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.0466853408 | $2.50 |