PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xbe5a81FEf26fC59A2395847913f1D145F04811d2-1771708233479

0x09fe24b4be2bc22a28c18f5cfa226723ada86053

Realised P&L
$557.05
Volume
$38.8k
Markets traded
120
Open portfolio
$88.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded120
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1400.085$50.91$32.94
Spread: Rams (-10.5) · Rams0.4791.000$21.18+$11.04
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.2530.043$11.05$53.13
Titans vs. Giants · Titans0.4300.440$5.27+$0.12
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) · Commanders0.4900.000$0.00$10.36
Eagles vs. Titans: O/U 39.5 · Under0.4900.000$0.00$4.93
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs M80 (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs · M800.4800.000$0.00$4.64
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? · Yes0.4420.000$0.00$40.13
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) · Chiefs0.4900.000$0.00$5.59
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 17? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$1.42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 5? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$0.41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21? · Yes0.3750.000$0.00$80.88
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$0.73
Will the State of the Union be 110 minutes or longer? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$5.96
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22? · Yes0.5150.000$0.00$60.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 02:25Titans vs. GiantsBUY0.43$5.15
09-22 00:40Spread: Rams (-10.5)BUY0.47$5.63
09-21 15:55Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 21?BUY0.0474613459$3.41
09-21 15:40Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 21?BUY0.007$0.50
09-21 15:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?BUY0.282$20.28
09-21 15:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?BUY0.3525828699$25.36
09-21 11:35Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageBUY0.31$3.71
09-21 11:31Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageBUY0.44$5.27
09-21 11:25Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.205$1.47
09-21 11:21Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.2330710306$1.67
09-21 11:15Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.1943744787$4.66
09-21 11:06Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.1254246126$8.42
09-21 11:00Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.1446696961$9.71
09-21 10:56Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.26$1.87
09-21 03:05Colts vs. ChiefsBUY0.48$5.53