Lanfear
0x09fdbae1048ab7454f2d2b0e642aa7acde6bb61e
- Realised P&L
- $-460.64
- Volume
- $205.4k
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $972.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.443Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$744.72at 0.234MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$696.63at 0.760Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$246.80at 0.530Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$241.36at 0.363 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September? | BUY | 0.96 | $152.64 |
| 09-14 14:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.9288266667 | $139.32 |
| 09-13 22:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September? | BUY | 0.051 | $25.50 |
| 09-13 22:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | SELL | 0.999 | $216.82 |
| 09-13 19:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? | BUY | 0.013 | $12.09 |
| 09-13 19:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.37 | $530.58 |
| 09-13 18:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.8904292296 | $193.26 |
| 09-13 18:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | BUY | 0.2175315134 | $204.63 |
| 09-13 18:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? | BUY | 0.023 | $4.60 |
| 09-13 18:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? | BUY | 0.021624574 | $60.59 |
| 09-13 18:16 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September? | BUY | 0.043 | $6.27 |
| 09-13 16:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? | BUY | 0.051 | $6.96 |
| 09-13 16:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | BUY | 0.204962963 | $83.01 |
| 07-25 03:10 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.0648027561 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 20:37 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.22 | $6.14 |