Fritszel
0x09fbf0b4d4825a15589beefe045a9167ad841d86
- Realised P&L
- $-420.28
- Volume
- $15.2k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $17.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · Yes | 0.312 | 0.105 | $17.34 | −$34.16 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET · Down | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 8AM ET · Up | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET · Up | 0.195 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET · Down | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2PM ET · Up | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 2AM ET · Down | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 3PM ET · Up | 0.575 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$125.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Down | 0.201 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 5AM ET · Up | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.41at 0.474Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10AM ET
- +$31.72at 0.270Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7AM ET
- +$30.21at 0.553Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9AM ET
- +$27.82at 0.745Will South Africa win in regulation?
- +$20.58at 0.685Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:14 | Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 18:13 | Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.31 | $46.50 |
| 09-09 13:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999925 | $25.00 |
| 09-09 13:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999925 | $25.00 |
| 09-05 07:36 | Will South Africa win in regulation? | BUY | 0.7347766558 | $80.00 |
| 09-05 07:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | SELL | 0.42 | $18.42 |
| 09-05 07:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2007647936 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 07:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999918 | $25.00 |
| 09-05 06:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | SELL | 0.4519250164 | $20.61 |
| 09-05 06:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5480769142 | $25.00 |
| 09-04 20:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4PM ET | SELL | 0.25 | $34.35 |
| 09-04 20:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4PM ET | SELL | 0.61 | $24.21 |
| 09-04 20:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.6299999922 | $25.00 |
| 09-04 20:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4PM ET | SELL | 0.42 | $16.43 |
| 09-04 20:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4PM ET | SELL | 0.45 | $4.46 |