PolyBot

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Traders

0x09EF85328e1c9280431eAF3a0a7B66791EDa5003-1723619364070

0x09ef85328e1c9280431eaf3a0a7b66791eda5003

Realised P&L
$-34.62
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
91
Open portfolio
$3.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded91
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Blue and White be in the next Israeli government? · No0.9500.989$2.08+$0.08
Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.765$1.39−$0.01
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026? · Yes0.1820.000$0.00−$5.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.7000.000$0.00−$1.00
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners · Over0.4900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.8100.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00−$1.00
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? · No0.7800.000$0.00−$1.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.4480.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 18, 2026? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Detroit Pistons finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference? · No0.3790.000$0.00−$0.50
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? · No0.3700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$11.00
Will Iran strike Turkey in March? · Yes0.1260.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 12:35Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.7899999058$1.09
10-28 09:19Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?BUY0.769999923$1.40
10-28 09:08Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?SELL0.97$1.16
10-28 09:08Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.97$1.33
10-23 16:00Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.8099999416$1.11
10-14 15:29Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.9$1.00
10-14 07:59Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?BUY0.829999502$1.00
10-11 05:57Will Blue and White be in the next Israeli government?BUY0.95$2.00
09-02 09:00Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.84$2.00
09-02 08:58Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?SELL0.978$1.32
08-24 06:46Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.8599995356$1.00
08-01 12:38Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?BUY0.9259999031$3.00
07-31 12:36Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.91$1.03
07-31 07:07Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
07-31 05:58Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.07$1.06