0x09EF85328e1c9280431eAF3a0a7B66791EDa5003-1723619364070
0x09ef85328e1c9280431eaf3a0a7b66791eda5003
- Realised P&L
- $-34.62
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $3.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.89at 0.280Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.440Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
- +$1.78at 0.360US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
- +$1.70at 0.510Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?
- +$1.55at 0.777Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 12:35 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.7899999058 | $1.09 |
| 10-28 09:19 | Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.769999923 | $1.40 |
| 10-28 09:08 | Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? | SELL | 0.97 | $1.16 |
| 10-28 09:08 | Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.97 | $1.33 |
| 10-23 16:00 | Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.8099999416 | $1.11 |
| 10-14 15:29 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 07:59 | Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? | BUY | 0.829999502 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 05:57 | Will Blue and White be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 09:00 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 08:58 | Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? | SELL | 0.978 | $1.32 |
| 08-24 06:46 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.8599995356 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 12:38 | Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? | BUY | 0.9259999031 | $3.00 |
| 07-31 12:36 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.03 |
| 07-31 07:07 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 05:58 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.06 |