godofconquest
0x09ed6660f0c4b792dd253fd5aad2981106c383d8
- Realised P&L
- $-2.79
- Volume
- $63.32
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $2.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.705 | $1.86 | +$0.86 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.33at 0.900Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
- +$0.21at 0.944Ethereum Up or Down on November 1?
- +$-2.79at 0.100Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:07 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:03 | Ethereum Up or Down on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.73 |
| 11-01 14:48 | Ethereum Up or Down on November 1? | BUY | 0.9399999946 | $3.51 |
| 10-30 06:28 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.21 |
| 10-24 13:15 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.99 |
| 10-24 13:08 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |