PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Dtpgglplm

0x09e6edbd3ede23feb58d1dfe09089f1405746f1d

Realised P&L
$13.44
Volume
$289.85
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$3.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on November 2? · Yes0.2200.340$1.55+$0.55
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on November 2? · Yes0.3600.340$0.94−$0.06
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3400.285$0.84−$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 31? · Yes0.1000.001$0.01−$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 12:05Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on November 2?BUY0.219999978$1.00
11-01 12:02Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on November 2?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
11-01 11:23Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
11-01 07:11Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?SELL0.9936989796$5.84
11-01 02:39Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on November 1?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
11-01 02:10Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
10-31 01:37Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 31?BUY0.1$1.00
10-30 08:38Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 31?BUY0.1$1.00
10-29 07:39Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 30?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
10-28 22:51Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-28 22:15Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 29?SELL0.84$2.80
10-28 22:14Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 29?SELL0.0884308576$8.62
10-28 14:42Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 29?BUY0.0085113109$1.00
10-28 14:41Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 29?BUY0.29999994$1.00