RIC25
0x09e672e5993de19f84fbd9a1cc2e298fdc5b24a1
- Realised P&L
- $7.3k
- Volume
- $1.16M
- Markets traded
- 378
- Open portfolio
- $27.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded378
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.725Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
- +$3.1kat 0.581Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
- +$1.9kat 0.159Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?
- +$1.6kat 0.490Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?
- +$1.3kat 0.270Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 19:54 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.031873065 | $41.18 |
| 09-03 16:14 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.959 | $1.2k |
| 08-03 03:14 | Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | SELL | 0.8837264732 | $495.36 |
| 08-03 03:14 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31? | SELL | 0.0017888031 | $1.39 |
| 07-29 23:16 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0012049635 | $2.04 |
| 07-27 23:19 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31? | SELL | 0.0508888889 | $9.16 |
| 07-27 23:19 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31? | SELL | 0.0583325 | $58.33 |
| 07-26 19:55 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31? | SELL | 0.0496906977 | $21.37 |
| 07-26 19:53 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31? | SELL | 0.0665956234 | $31.77 |
| 07-26 19:50 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31? | BUY | 0.0464427051 | $153.91 |
| 07-21 23:16 | Enhanced Breakers 1: Thor Bjornsson to Break Deadlift Record? | SELL | 0.9903476933 | $1.4k |
| 07-19 22:43 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL | 0.06 | $35.41 |
| 07-16 13:16 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.579 | $57.90 |
| 07-14 20:36 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.0925 | $16.44 |
| 07-14 19:05 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5625 | $99.98 |