PolyBot

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Traders

RIC25

0x09e672e5993de19f84fbd9a1cc2e298fdc5b24a1

Realised P&L
$7.3k
Volume
$1.16M
Markets traded
378
Open portfolio
$27.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded378
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.8300.992$27.76+$4.52
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.3890.000$0.00$217.31
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$20.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$20.00
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven · Rico0.1110.000$0.00$114.30
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00$20.00
Will claude-opus-4-6 have the best AI model on May 30, 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$7.47
GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$139.32
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 2.5 · Under0.4000.000$0.00$11.00
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) · Brazil0.3100.000$0.00$20.00
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4390.000$0.00$312.21
Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg? · Yes0.8080.000$0.00$843.79
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$20.00
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.1560.000$0.00$333.01
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.8000.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 19:54Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?SELL0.031873065$41.18
09-03 16:14Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?BUY0.959$1.2k
08-03 03:14Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?SELL0.8837264732$495.36
08-03 03:14Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?SELL0.0017888031$1.39
07-29 23:16Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?SELL0.0012049635$2.04
07-27 23:19Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?SELL0.0508888889$9.16
07-27 23:19Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?SELL0.0583325$58.33
07-26 19:55Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?SELL0.0496906977$21.37
07-26 19:53Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?SELL0.0665956234$31.77
07-26 19:50Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?BUY0.0464427051$153.91
07-21 23:16Enhanced Breakers 1: Thor Bjornsson to Break Deadlift Record?SELL0.9903476933$1.4k
07-19 22:43Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?SELL0.06$35.41
07-16 13:16Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.579$57.90
07-14 20:36France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSELL0.0925$16.44
07-14 19:05France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5625$99.98