PolyBot

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Traders

Thombg

0x09e4639ba60d233146d27515b7dffbd23c0b93aa

Realised P&L
$2.5k
Volume
$324.8k
Markets traded
129
Open portfolio
$14.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded129
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 17:27Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.8299999999$500.00
10-24 07:12Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?SELL0.025$0.81
10-24 07:10Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?SELL0.0303431409$18.76
10-22 07:52Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?BUY0.1129340452$1000.00
10-22 07:51Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?SELL0.964877483$1.3k
10-20 17:14Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.7299999994$839.66
10-20 17:13Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?BUY0.977$500.00
10-20 17:13Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?SELL0.9444544$1.3k
09-27 12:01Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?BUY0.8699999999$400.00
09-27 12:01Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5799999995$400.00
09-27 12:00Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.84$840.00
09-22 12:48Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?BUY0.9751001209$200.00
09-22 12:47Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.64$600.00
09-22 12:47Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.971$777.06
09-22 12:46Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?BUY0.8557895155$500.00