Rebellion.g
0x09e4198215f52cea1daf922afc27ea4b46683076
- Realised P&L
- $21.01
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $13.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.125 | $13.38 | −$26.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$345.62at 0.250Will the Eagles win the NFC Championship?
- +$115.00at 0.425Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?
- +$19.71at 0.800Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?
- +$15.98at 0.360Ripple ETF approved by July 31?
- +$15.32at 0.620Dogecoin above $0.30 on December 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-21 18:24 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.5 | $150.00 |
| 03-08 17:19 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.55 | $165.00 |
| 02-26 18:34 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $97.50 |
| 02-19 17:07 | Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $66.27 |
| 02-10 12:58 | Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.37 | $39.59 |
| 02-08 08:32 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February? | SELL | 0.12 | $21.68 |
| 02-07 15:04 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.2749879487 | $107.25 |
| 02-05 14:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.1 | $29.00 |
| 02-05 08:03 | Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $81.45 |
| 02-02 19:51 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February? | BUY | 0.1 | $18.07 |
| 02-01 18:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.11 | $31.90 |
| 01-28 06:48 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | SELL | 0.32 | $31.87 |
| 01-03 16:06 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | BUY | 0.26 | $25.90 |
| 12-25 12:01 | Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $128.00 |
| 12-17 18:25 | No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.9837303371 | $87.55 |