ameshisb
0x09ce433ef5096c4efb145a5a7ecc137939acaf35
- Realised P&L
- $31.8k
- Volume
- $2.13M
- Markets traded
- 6,641
- Open portfolio
- $13.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded6,641
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-06? · No | 0.696 | 0.615 | $9.15 | −$1.20 |
| Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-06? · Yes | 0.396 | 0.345 | $4.34 | −$0.64 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier · Gen.G | 0.000 | 0.000 | $0.00 | +$0.00 |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner · Vici Gaming | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.01 |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5) · New York Yankees | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.90 |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner · BNK FEARX | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.50 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 · Over | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.15 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.9kat 0.368LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- +$6.9kat 0.558LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
- +$6.8kat 0.082LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
- +$5.9kat 0.087LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- +$5.2kat 0.223LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 00:35 | Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-06-08? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 06-07 22:26 | Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-06-08? | BUY | 0.33796 | $1.69 |
| 06-07 21:24 | Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Geekay Esports (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 06-07 21:23 | Will RS Berkane win on 2026-06-08? | BUY | 0.41 | $0.41 |
| 06-07 20:20 | Will RS Berkane win on 2026-06-08? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 06-07 19:18 | Will RS Berkane win on 2026-06-08? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 06-07 19:17 | Games Total: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.28 | $0.28 |
| 06-07 18:16 | Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 06-07 17:14 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 06-07 17:14 | Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 06-07 16:10 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5 | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 06-07 15:06 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 06-07 14:55 | Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | BUY | 0.63 | $63.00 |
| 06-07 14:21 | Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage | BUY | 0.48 | $7.20 |
| 06-07 14:19 | Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage | BUY | 0.47 | $16.45 |