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0x09beD1976600971Fd9f9Db454a9c302C7A559c32-1779171276281

0x09bed1976600971fd9f9db454a9c302c7a559c32

Realised P&L
$33.3k
Volume
$1.80M
Markets traded
119
Open portfolio
$4.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded119
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8750.865$2.0k$23.00
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · No0.8650.865$1.7k+$0.00
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9680.961$496.84$3.62
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.6490.690$401.51+$23.83
Will FIFA Sell Equity in the World Cup in 2026? · No0.9750.981$50.04+$0.29
Will Marseille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? · No0.9600.963$15.40+$0.04
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9890.986$4.93$0.02
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9620.972$4.86+$0.05
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$94.90
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-04? · No0.7200.000$0.00$3.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 18:40Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-08-05?BUY0.969$998.07
08-05 18:35Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-08-05?BUY0.968$10.36
08-04 19:28Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.97$1.9k
08-02 14:42Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.87$870.00
08-02 10:44Will Marseille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?BUY0.954$5.72
08-01 13:14Will FIFA Sell Equity in the World Cup in 2026?BUY0.99$1.00
08-01 13:10Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.63$30.63
08-01 07:22Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.989$4.95
08-01 07:22Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.962$4.81
07-31 14:54Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.994$994.00
07-31 13:40Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.978$97.80
07-31 11:36Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.9145$54.87
07-31 10:37Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.907$4.54
07-28 12:34Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?BUY0.994$209.14
07-28 12:33Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?BUY0.993$40.71