0x68234mjhgfvj8612543ytjsa6187235v81283
0x09b540739cfa17ba6b61f4351000583cd6397e72
- Realised P&L
- $-181.8k
- Volume
- $4.61M
- Markets traded
- 555
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded555
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.545 | $1.1k | +$29.52 |
| Spread: Argentina (-4.5) · Argentina | 0.550 | 0.575 | $506.26 | +$22.01 |
| Spread: Steelers (-16.5) · Colts | 0.860 | 0.860 | $301.00 | +$0.00 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-8.5) · Cowboys | 0.470 | 0.465 | $228.78 | −$2.46 |
| UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) · Melissa Gatto | 0.520 | 0.515 | $165.83 | −$1.61 |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth · Hubert Hurkacz | 0.680 | 0.645 | $161.25 | −$8.75 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-2.5) · Jaguars | 0.700 | 0.715 | $141.64 | +$2.97 |
| Spread: Ravens (-2.5) · Falcons | 0.650 | 0.650 | $115.05 | +$0.00 |
| Spread: Ravens (-3.5) · Falcons | 0.710 | 0.730 | $50.36 | +$1.38 |
| Jake Bauers: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.150 | 0.150 | $38.85 | +$0.00 |
| Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 157.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.525 | $34.64 | +$1.65 |
| Will the fight end before Round 2? · Yes | 0.609 | 0.475 | $26.13 | −$7.39 |
| Emeka Egbuka: Receptions O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.578 | 0.575 | $25.59 | −$0.14 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-20.5) · Eagles | 0.840 | 0.830 | $24.69 | −$0.30 |
| Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 45.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.435 | $12.62 | −$1.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.2kat 0.357Canadiens vs. Hurricanes
- +$58.3kat 0.507Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
- +$52.3kat 0.477New York Yankees vs. New York Mets
- +$43.3kat 0.497Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
- +$42.0kat 0.557San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 21:44 | Emeka Egbuka: Receptions O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $2.28 |
| 10-06 21:43 | Will the fight end before Round 2? | BUY | 0.6 | $7.20 |
| 10-06 21:43 | Will the fight end before Round 2? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 21:42 | Spread: Cowboys (-8.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $231.24 |
| 10-06 21:15 | Will the fight end before Round 2? | BUY | 0.6 | $7.20 |
| 10-06 21:06 | Spread: Steelers (-16.5) | BUY | 0.86 | $86.43 |
| 10-06 21:05 | Spread: Jaguars (-2.5) | BUY | 0.7 | $138.67 |
| 10-06 19:22 | Will United States win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.53 | $260.76 |
| 10-06 19:21 | Croatia vs. Spain: Spain O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.11 | $21.89 |
| 10-06 19:20 | Will United States win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.53 | $260.76 |
| 10-06 19:20 | Will United States win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.53 | $260.76 |
| 10-06 19:19 | Croatia vs. Spain: Spain O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.11 | $4.40 |
| 10-06 19:15 | Jake Ferguson: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.28 | $5.88 |
| 10-06 19:15 | Will United States win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.53 | $260.76 |
| 10-06 19:15 | Emeka Egbuka: Receptions O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $2.28 |