troygray
0x09b3d6ca767629e48c2f4de215165bf3115c5719
- Realised P&L
- $39.20
- Volume
- $117.6k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $47.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP dip to $0.20 in October? · No | 0.999 | 0.990 | $47.01 | −$0.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.60at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 14?
- +$16.31at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 14?
- +$10.00at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 13?
- +$1.45at 0.964Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?
- +$0.85at 0.992Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 17:17 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $47.46 |
| 09-15 02:14 | Will Solana dip to $20 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.53 |
| 09-09 06:58 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.93 |
| 08-21 23:22 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in August? | SELL | 0.99 | $14.97 |
| 08-21 23:21 | Will Solana reach $160 in August? | SELL | 0.99 | $27.31 |
| 08-21 23:20 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August? | SELL | 0.836 | $38.77 |
| 08-16 14:01 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.11 |
| 08-11 03:26 | Will Solana reach $160 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.57 |
| 08-06 02:50 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $46.29 |
| 07-17 19:16 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.21 |
| 07-12 07:52 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.82 |
| 06-25 23:35 | Will BNB reach $900 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $60.94 |
| 06-23 10:08 | Will Solana dip to $30 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $44.09 |
| 05-23 04:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.02 |
| 05-21 13:15 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in May? | BUY | 0.9979999681 | $19.06 |