noah90
0x09b2c4855477ec62be6bd86e7f3b77008ad3bb66
- Realised P&L
- $-4.98
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $19.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaume Munar vs Kyrian Jacquet · Jaume Munar | 0.590 | 1.000 | $6.19 | +$2.54 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.815 | $5.75 | +$0.81 |
| Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.925 | $5.69 | +$0.89 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.625 | $2.01 | −$0.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$12.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.75at 0.371Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 24?
- +$30.36at 0.502Wyoming vs. Central Michigan
- +$17.43at 0.187Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 2?
- +$17.10at 0.490Grizzlies vs. Kings
- +$17.03at 0.390Hawks vs. Clippers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 01:32 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaume Munar vs Kyrian Jacquet | BUY | 0.5899999693 | $3.65 |
| 10-04 01:28 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.3699999997 | $12.94 |
| 10-01 13:02 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7199999875 | $2.31 |
| 10-01 12:59 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.1799999953 | $3.86 |
| 09-26 20:10 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | BUY | 0.6999999858 | $4.94 |
| 09-26 20:08 | Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia | BUY | 0.5299999934 | $23.26 |
| 09-21 11:48 | Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.11 |
| 09-21 11:45 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.56 | $26.60 |
| 09-18 04:49 | Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7799998928 | $4.80 |
| 09-18 04:42 | Wyoming vs. Central Michigan | BUY | 0.4899999933 | $29.90 |
| 09-16 01:39 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.4412501244 | $12.92 |
| 09-14 08:04 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.2299999891 | $4.64 |
| 09-14 08:01 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.5599999793 | $9.74 |
| 09-09 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.64 | $17.16 |
| 09-05 15:29 | Boston College vs. Cincinnati | BUY | 0.2799999771 | $6.36 |