mlbman
0x09af203b5af180c61d54eea118a4548a1f209728
- Realised P&L
- $39.4k
- Volume
- $1.95M
- Markets traded
- 825
- Open portfolio
- $5.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded825
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.600 | 0.605 | $2.0k | +$16.67 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.550 | 0.535 | $1.9k | −$54.54 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.510 | 0.395 | $1.8k | −$511.35 |
| New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.2k |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$414.17 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$412.18 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals · Baltimore Orioles | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$298.32 |
| Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants · San Francisco Giants | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.9k |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox · Chicago White Sox | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics · Athletics | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$413.12 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Cleveland Guardians | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
| San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.493 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$806.69 |
| Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers · Texas Rangers | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$856.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.3kat 0.410Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies
- +$5.1kat 0.435Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros
- +$4.2kat 0.430Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers
- +$4.2kat 0.470Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
- +$4.1kat 0.490Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:21 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.5999999999 | $2.0k |
| 08-02 23:20 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.5499999999 | $2.0k |
| 08-02 17:15 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.5599999998 | $670.00 |
| 08-02 17:15 | Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.4599999997 | $450.00 |
| 08-02 17:15 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.48 | $750.00 |
| 08-02 16:31 | Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.4599999995 | $265.92 |
| 08-02 16:31 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.4799999997 | $369.74 |
| 08-02 14:00 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.5399999995 | $472.98 |
| 08-02 00:30 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.5799999998 | $553.04 |
| 08-01 21:00 | Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.469999999 | $162.61 |
| 08-01 19:30 | Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.4 | $154.19 |
| 08-01 16:30 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.4099999995 | $456.13 |
| 07-31 22:45 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $263.64 |
| 07-31 21:00 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5199999998 | $186.43 |
| 07-31 21:00 | Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.5 | $139.47 |