BrainyPup4744
0x09ac815bd072224ac64e9d39b8152dde7bb36e1e
- Realised P&L
- $-84.32
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 431
- Open portfolio
- $10.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded431
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Alexander Lukashenko in Turkmenistan? · No | 0.970 | 0.985 | $6.58 | +$0.10 |
| Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Ilham Aliyev in Turkmenistan? · No | 0.970 | 0.650 | $4.34 | −$2.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.59at 0.973Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Austria?
- +$0.58at 0.974Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 22?
- +$0.36at 0.983Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?
- +$0.35at 0.961Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.33at 0.970Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 03:25 | Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Ilham Aliyev in Turkmenistan? | BUY | 0.97 | $6.48 |
| 10-10 20:13 | Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Alexander Lukashenko in Turkmenistan? | BUY | 0.97 | $6.48 |
| 10-08 10:14 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | BUY | 0.9909999994 | $6.11 |
| 10-08 01:41 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | BUY | 0.9719999982 | $6.46 |
| 10-07 21:42 | Will Ronaldo post about Messi by October 7? | BUY | 0.9809998849 | $6.46 |
| 10-06 23:57 | Will Messi score 3+ goals vs. Benin? | BUY | 0.969999997 | $6.44 |
| 10-05 04:00 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | BUY | 0.9729998583 | $6.44 |
| 10-04 11:30 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5? | BUY | 0.9909999998 | $6.40 |
| 10-02 08:45 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.9719999976 | $6.42 |
| 10-02 04:04 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.9929999991 | $6.42 |
| 10-02 04:04 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.9759999988 | $6.42 |
| 10-02 02:52 | Lula participates in debate before first round? | BUY | 0.9949998931 | $6.42 |
| 10-01 12:03 | Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? | BUY | 0.9931317329 | $6.76 |
| 09-30 16:09 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.9739999971 | $6.64 |
| 09-30 12:24 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.65 |