nukem23f
0x09aa2e10e06246ae34766f11d2925287360cd10f
- Realised P&L
- $-7.9k
- Volume
- $103.5k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $18.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.208Bitcoin all time high by June 30?
- +$2.7kat 0.156Ethereum all time high before 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.249Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?
- +$-1.5kat 0.387Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?
- +$-2.5kat 0.202Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 17:10 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0149999993 | $20.00 |
| 06-11 17:07 | Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 10-11 09:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.5299999997 | $700.00 |
| 10-11 09:15 | Solana all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.3315021781 | $500.00 |
| 08-12 07:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August? | BUY | 0.25 | $250.00 |
| 08-12 07:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August? | BUY | 0.1 | $150.00 |
| 08-12 07:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August? | BUY | 0.5199472248 | $400.00 |
| 08-12 07:24 | Bitcoin more valuable than any company in 2025? | BUY | 0.0776523369 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 15:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July? | BUY | 0.1842586284 | $1000.00 |
| 07-18 15:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.4866184363 | $1.8k |
| 07-14 12:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July? | BUY | 0.0401828727 | $699.43 |
| 07-14 12:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July? | BUY | 0.1051914893 | $1.0k |
| 07-14 12:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July? | BUY | 0.3985988014 | $1000.00 |
| 07-12 12:26 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.1117014195 | $300.00 |
| 07-07 14:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July? | BUY | 0.2492088574 | $500.00 |