Kathryn3275
0x09a9731f9ee31f71b585747dc3dee2f50ccf8286
- Realised P&L
- $-20.00
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 429
- Open portfolio
- $41.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded429
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 18? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $27.41 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 18? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $14.41 | +$0.01 |
| Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? · No | 0.997 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.95at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on April 23?
- +$9.66at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or higher on April 22?
- +$9.63at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on April 27?
- +$9.53at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on April 24?
- +$9.16at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on April 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.40 |
| 09-17 12:40 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9989999594 | $14.40 |
| 09-13 04:41 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.50 |
| 09-11 15:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.63 |
| 09-11 15:46 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on September 11? | SELL | 0.998 | $31.57 |
| 09-11 01:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $19.60 |
| 09-10 19:56 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on September 11? | BUY | 0.9989999884 | $31.60 |
| 09-07 15:05 | Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.20 |
| 09-06 12:47 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.998999979 | $13.70 |
| 09-06 08:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.9989999946 | $15.90 |
| 09-05 23:15 | Will AfD win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.10 |
| 09-05 08:50 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.50 |
| 09-05 00:57 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.30 |
| 09-04 19:44 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.40 |
| 09-04 15:23 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on September 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.50 |