PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

tenkiyoho

0x09a85cfe4d51e0cde12daa4d255b3f789fb447c1

Realised P&L
$23.5k
Volume
$1.25M
Markets traded
1,446
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,446
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 17:52Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?BUY0.48$3.62
08-04 17:52Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?BUY0.49$111.93
08-04 17:52Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?BUY0.49$14.70
08-04 17:52Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?BUY0.49$238.29
08-04 17:50Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?BUY0.3990242404$526.26
08-04 06:24Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5?BUY0.8336830631$401.51
08-04 06:23Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5?BUY0.5787478836$523.00
08-03 18:49Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?BUY0.98$258.72
08-02 17:06Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 3?BUY0.302938794$113.69
08-02 17:06Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 3?BUY0.53$161.36
08-02 04:48Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 3?BUY0.4671857568$897.82
08-01 10:47Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 2?BUY0.5499758908$919.32
07-31 16:41Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 1?BUY0.9785654483$2.1k
07-31 08:43Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 1?SELL0.24$1.44
07-31 08:43Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 1?SELL0.2502935964$52.26