tenkiyoho
0x09a85cfe4d51e0cde12daa4d255b3f789fb447c1
- Realised P&L
- $23.5k
- Volume
- $1.25M
- Markets traded
- 1,446
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,446
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.080Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 26?
- +$1.8kat 0.265Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 15?
- +$1.7kat 0.588Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 23?
- +$1.7kat 0.497Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?
- +$1.4kat 0.545Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:52 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.48 | $3.62 |
| 08-04 17:52 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.49 | $111.93 |
| 08-04 17:52 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.49 | $14.70 |
| 08-04 17:52 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.49 | $238.29 |
| 08-04 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.3990242404 | $526.26 |
| 08-04 06:24 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.8336830631 | $401.51 |
| 08-04 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5787478836 | $523.00 |
| 08-03 18:49 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $258.72 |
| 08-02 17:06 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.302938794 | $113.69 |
| 08-02 17:06 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.53 | $161.36 |
| 08-02 04:48 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.4671857568 | $897.82 |
| 08-01 10:47 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.5499758908 | $919.32 |
| 07-31 16:41 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.9785654483 | $2.1k |
| 07-31 08:43 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.44 |
| 07-31 08:43 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.2502935964 | $52.26 |