PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x09A7f02F736ffFE8Aa68510a037C1a92055989fD-1745596104250

0x09a7f02f736fffe8aa68510a037c1a92055989fd

Realised P&L
$-625.31
Volume
$8.1k
Markets traded
151
Open portfolio
$105.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded151
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? · No0.8850.959$21.66+$1.66
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? · No0.9050.962$21.25+$1.25
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · No0.7800.912$11.69+$1.69
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8500.945$11.12+$1.12
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.980$11.01+$1.01
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.983$10.92+$0.92
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December? · No0.9100.895$9.84−$0.16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3100.355$3.55+$0.45
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.3200.195$1.95−$1.25
Will Jenna Dewan win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? · Yes0.0800.054$1.36−$0.64
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0280.026$0.93−$0.07
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$0.35−$1.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 20:53Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.32$3.20
10-27 20:53Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.31$3.10
10-25 08:17Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December?BUY0.9099999991$10.00
10-22 04:53Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0279999998$1.00
10-14 05:11Will Jenna Dewan win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?BUY0.08$2.00
09-14 19:08Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1499999998$80.00
09-14 18:32Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1499999998$80.00
09-14 18:25Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1499999925$2.00
07-11 21:51Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?SELL0.21$2.80
07-01 07:32Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0669999939$10.00
07-01 07:32Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1839999853$10.00
07-01 07:32Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3279999874$10.00
06-22 06:27Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.901$9.71
06-21 08:06Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?BUY0.8799999965$10.00
06-19 06:18Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?SELL0.003$0.03