0x09A7f02F736ffFE8Aa68510a037C1a92055989fD-1745596104250
0x09a7f02f736fffe8aa68510a037c1a92055989fd
- Realised P&L
- $-625.31
- Volume
- $8.1k
- Markets traded
- 151
- Open portfolio
- $105.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded151
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.92at 0.170Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$29.85at 0.032Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$19.54at 0.719Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 12?
- +$18.23at 0.052Megaquake before August?
- +$18.20at 0.777Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 20:53 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 10-27 20:53 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 10-25 08:17 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 04:53 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0279999998 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 05:11 | Will Jenna Dewan win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 19:08 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1499999998 | $80.00 |
| 09-14 18:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1499999998 | $80.00 |
| 09-14 18:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 21:51 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.80 |
| 07-01 07:32 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0669999939 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 07:32 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1839999853 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 07:32 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3279999874 | $10.00 |
| 06-22 06:27 | Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.901 | $9.71 |
| 06-21 08:06 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 06-19 06:18 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.03 |