0x099bF90a641DA9f8D85DeD57BD48C32996d9fAAC-1767812936279
0x099bf90a641da9f8d85ded57bd48c32996d9faac
- Realised P&L
- $-35.30
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 413
- Open portfolio
- $9.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded413
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.017 | 0.059 | $3.47 | +$2.47 |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.982 | $2.89 | +$1.89 |
| Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.057 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Plague pandemic in 2026? · No | 0.961 | 0.983 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.214 | 0.114 | $0.53 | −$0.47 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.021 | $0.48 | −$0.52 |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.07at 0.748Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$22.05at 0.043US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
- +$6.98at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
- +$6.08at 0.148Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
- +$5.63at 0.155Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 16:01 | France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 01:04 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0169999998 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 13:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 13:19 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 13:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.64 |
| 10-09 13:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 15:15 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.2139999632 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 15:14 | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.9609999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:17 | Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0539999986 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:15 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.0259999996 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:00 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 14:59 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 14:58 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 14:56 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 14:56 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |