PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x099bF90a641DA9f8D85DeD57BD48C32996d9fAAC-1767812936279

0x099bf90a641da9f8d85ded57bd48c32996d9faac

Realised P&L
$-35.30
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
413
Open portfolio
$9.45

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded413
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? · No0.0170.059$3.47+$2.47
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · Yes0.3400.982$2.89+$1.89
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.0540.057$1.06+$0.06
Plague pandemic in 2026? · No0.9610.983$1.02+$0.02
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes0.2140.114$0.53−$0.47
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0430.021$0.48−$0.52
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 16:01France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?BUY0.013$1.00
10-16 01:04Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0169999998$1.00
10-09 13:19Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
10-09 13:19Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETBUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-09 13:08Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETSELL0.99$1.64
10-09 13:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETBUY0.59999988$1.00
10-08 15:15Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.2139999632$1.00
10-08 15:14Plague pandemic in 2026?BUY0.9609999962$1.00
10-05 15:17Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?BUY0.0539999986$1.00
10-05 15:15Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.0259999996$1.00
10-05 15:00Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?BUY0.05$1.00
10-05 14:59Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.011$1.00
10-05 14:58Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.002$1.00
10-05 14:56US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.1$1.00
10-05 14:56US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?BUY0.0699999965$1.00