0x0991De1F9f1c53Bb2710868CF5C0a6cbaF96E29a-1766487788147
0x0991de1f9f1c53bb2710868cf5c0a6cbaf96e29a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $36.8k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $8.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$270.47at 0.318Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
- +$119.07at 0.197Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
- +$112.61at 0.333Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?
- +$89.92at 0.263Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
- +$59.09at 0.490Will Russia enter Toretske by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-01 17:49 | Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 04-01 17:48 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 04-01 17:48 | Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 04-01 17:47 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30? | BUY | 0.1833844005 | $20.00 |
| 04-01 17:47 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? | SELL | 0.14 | $45.24 |
| 03-29 14:00 | Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999906 | $12.83 |
| 03-28 01:14 | Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 03-28 01:13 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 03-28 01:13 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $32.83 |
| 03-27 18:10 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999921 | $12.70 |
| 03-27 18:10 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.99 |
| 03-27 18:09 | Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 03-27 18:09 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1604272904 | $10.00 |
| 03-26 21:51 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 03-26 21:50 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |