PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0991De1F9f1c53Bb2710868CF5C0a6cbaF96E29a-1766487788147

0x0991de1f9f1c53bb2710868cf5c0a6cbaf96e29a

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$36.8k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$8.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? · Yes0.2720.038$8.73$53.69
Will Russia capture Bilytske by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1720.000$0.00$69.40
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30? · Yes0.1970.000$0.00$60.00
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31? · Yes0.1380.000$0.00$75.00
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$2.00
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.3270.000$0.00$60.00
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by March 31? · Yes0.1470.000$0.00$124.25
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00$136.85
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$5.49
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%? · No0.2850.000$0.00$5.78
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 12% and 14% of votes in the first round? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$10.00
Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.1480.000$0.00$71.14
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$138.07
Will Russia capture Lyman by February 28, 2026? · Yes0.1430.000$0.00$80.00
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00$2.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-01 17:49Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
04-01 17:48Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?BUY0.08$5.00
04-01 17:48Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
04-01 17:47Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?BUY0.1833844005$20.00
04-01 17:47Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?SELL0.14$45.24
03-29 14:00Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?BUY0.1499999906$12.83
03-28 01:14Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?BUY0.16$10.00
03-28 01:13Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?BUY0.2799999854$10.00
03-28 01:13US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.16$32.83
03-27 18:10Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1199999921$12.70
03-27 18:10Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?BUY0.09$9.99
03-27 18:09Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
03-27 18:09US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.1604272904$10.00
03-26 21:51Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
03-26 21:50Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?BUY0.0899999919$10.00