PolyBot

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Traders

cutbum

0x098ff639ec7f1e55e1707604e02fe90ceedd7299

Realised P&L
$130.63
Volume
$13.6k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$113.22

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31? · Yes0.1200.100$81.54−$16.31
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? · Yes0.0540.034$31.68−$18.32
Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$25.00
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? · No0.0370.000$0.00−$100.00
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21? · Yes0.7120.000$0.00−$27.07
Israel closes its airspace by July 31? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? · No0.3770.000$0.00−$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 10:48Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?BUY0.1301189667$25.00
09-08 06:19Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?BUY0.0536648193$50.00
09-07 22:11Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.95$3.2k
09-06 04:39Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.7062041603$1000.00
09-05 09:13Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.6699999993$300.00
09-05 09:11Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.67$1000.00
09-04 22:00U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?BUY0.3770776477$200.00
08-20 17:02Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?BUY0.2104598548$200.00
08-20 17:02Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?BUY0.2694610769$200.00
07-21 14:24Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31?BUY0.12$84.05
07-20 21:30Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?BUY0.7121073402$27.07
07-17 20:58President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY0.0373162503$100.00
07-16 22:27Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.1199998992$1.00