cutbum
0x098ff639ec7f1e55e1707604e02fe90ceedd7299
- Realised P&L
- $130.63
- Volume
- $13.6k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $113.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.100 | $81.54 | −$16.31 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.034 | $31.68 | −$18.32 |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? · No | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21? · Yes | 0.712 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.07 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? · No | 0.377 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$888.51at 0.685Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
- +$-200.00at 0.210Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?
- +$-200.00at 0.269Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 10:48 | Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1301189667 | $25.00 |
| 09-08 06:19 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | BUY | 0.0536648193 | $50.00 |
| 09-07 22:11 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.95 | $3.2k |
| 09-06 04:39 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.7062041603 | $1000.00 |
| 09-05 09:13 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $300.00 |
| 09-05 09:11 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.67 | $1000.00 |
| 09-04 22:00 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.3770776477 | $200.00 |
| 08-20 17:02 | Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? | BUY | 0.2104598548 | $200.00 |
| 08-20 17:02 | Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? | BUY | 0.2694610769 | $200.00 |
| 07-21 14:24 | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $84.05 |
| 07-20 21:30 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21? | BUY | 0.7121073402 | $27.07 |
| 07-17 20:58 | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY | 0.0373162503 | $100.00 |
| 07-16 22:27 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |