Bryan765
0x098e36411ddc8b43a7409a7ddaa3d91f6f32ee15
- Realised P&L
- $-7.60
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 428
- Open portfolio
- $53.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded428
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 18? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $32.43 | −$0.07 |
| Will Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $20.71 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 27? · No | 0.997 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.00at 0.749Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 16?
- +$9.78at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 21?
- +$9.53at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on April 19?
- +$9.45at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on April 20?
- +$9.43at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C or higher on April 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:50 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9989999856 | $32.50 |
| 09-13 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.9989999723 | $24.30 |
| 09-11 20:17 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $25.39 |
| 09-11 03:09 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.40 |
| 09-10 20:14 | Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.5 on September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.90 |
| 09-07 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 91°F or below on September 8? | BUY | 0.9989999859 | $26.60 |
| 09-06 12:55 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.50 |
| 09-06 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.20 |
| 09-05 22:39 | Will Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.9989999864 | $20.70 |
| 09-05 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.60 |
| 09-05 03:47 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.50 |
| 09-04 23:19 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on September 5? | BUY | 0.9989999432 | $10.40 |
| 09-04 18:47 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on September 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.20 |
| 09-04 11:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.70 |
| 09-04 02:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 4? | BUY | 0.9989999692 | $12.60 |