0x097d49449e0c0c1cbda99e86806a7275dbca6f83
0x097d49449e0c0c1cbda99e86806a7275dbca6f83
- Realised P&L
- $151.60
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $53.29
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.510 | 0.992 | $38.20 | +$18.56 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on October 4? · Up | 0.600 | 0.905 | $15.08 | +$5.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.74at 0.442Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on July 15?
- +$22.20at 0.459Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19?
- +$20.48at 0.500Will England win on 2026-07-11?
- +$18.33at 0.358Will England win on 2026-06-23?
- +$17.23at 0.740Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 22:24 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 4? | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 20:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.509999999 | $19.64 |
| 09-30 20:19 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 28 2026? | SELL | 0.7126517384 | $24.19 |
| 09-28 21:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.56 | $18.48 |
| 09-28 20:34 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999944 | $24.78 |
| 08-23 09:01 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5899999932 | $27.00 |
| 08-22 07:27 | Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.8099999967 | $22.00 |
| 08-21 20:53 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21? | SELL | 0.999 | $22.59 |
| 08-20 08:37 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21? | BUY | 0.8399999947 | $19.00 |
| 08-18 23:54 | Will NEC win on 2026-08-19? | BUY | 0.6299999821 | $12.00 |
| 08-18 18:24 | Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-18? | BUY | 0.72 | $9.00 |
| 08-18 18:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | SELL | 0.16 | $9.24 |
| 08-18 18:23 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 in August? | SELL | 0.0157095553 | $0.66 |
| 08-03 11:09 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 in August? | BUY | 0.8276353122 | $35.00 |
| 08-03 11:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | BUY | 0.64 | $36.98 |